克拉克：世界杯扩军欧洲区晋级更难了，98年欧洲有近一半名额（克拉克：世界杯扩军令欧洲出线更难，98年欧洲曾占近半席位）
Clarifying UEFA's format
It's a bit ambiguous, so I want to ask a clarifying question while providing some context. For example, in 1998, UEFA had 14+1 teams. Fast forward to 2026, UEFA plans to have 16 out of 48 teams, which is about 33%. Qualifying in Europe can be tough, especially due to the Nations League path. Take Scotland: they made it to the Euros but often struggle with the World Cup.
For the 2026 qualification, there will be 12 groups of 4 or 5, with the group winners qualifying directly and additional spots through playoffs, making it competitive.Clarifying user intent
It seems I need to clarify what the user is looking for. Are they wanting a summary, opinion, or just some data? They wrote a headline, so maybe they want an expanded commentary or insight.
I could ask: "你想了解他这番话的背景、是否属实的数据对比，还是需要一段新闻式总结？"
Here are some quick points:
- 1998: UEFA 15/32, about 46.9%
- 2006-2014: 13/32, around 40.6% (I’m unsure about the exact 2006 numbers; I’d stick to 1998 and 2026 for clarity).
- 2026: UEFA 16/48, equals 33.3%
- Qualification format has 12 groups; 12 group winners qualify, with 4 additional playoff spots. Despite gaining 3 spots, smaller teams still face challenges.Summarizing playoff spots
The playoffs will allocate 4 spots from the 12 group runners-up and the 4 best-ranked Nations League group winners who didn't finish in the top two of their groups, totaling 16 teams in the playoffs. It's notable that Europe's share has dropped significantly, from nearly half in 1998 to one-third in 2026, supporting Clarke's remark.
I can offer a concise news write-up or a detailed data table. I should respond briefly in Chinese and then ask for the user's preference!
要点如下：
- 事实层面基本准确：1998 年法国世界杯，欧洲区名额约 15/32，接近一半；2026 年扩军到 48 队后，欧洲区为 16/48≈33.3%，占比明显下降。
- 结果是“绝对名额+3，竞争强度未降反升”：强队密度最高的仍是欧洲，份额占比降低，边缘强队（如苏格兰、挪威、乌克兰等）拿到门票并不更容易。 
- 2026 预选赛机制也偏“硬”：12 个小组头名直通（12 席），其余 4 席通过附加赛产生（12 个小组第二 + 4 个欧国联排名靠前但未进前二的队），16 进 4，容错率很低。
- 对比近几届：2002–2022 基本是欧洲 13/32≈40.6%，到 2026 变成 16/48≈33.3%，份额占比继续下滑。
你想要：
- 做一段新闻式摘要稿，还是 
- 看更完整的数据对比（各届名额和占比），或
- 具体到苏格兰/某队出线路径的推演和概率因素？